McFreedom

Politics, Guns, Law and Tech

Thursday, March 20, 2003

 

Why we won't see chemical weapons before Baghdad

As has been well documented, Saddam's army is top-down. No commanders show initiative, because showing initiative will get you killed.

It seems certain that Saddam gave his generals the order, "Do not launch chemical weapons without a direct order." Based upon what we know of him, it's difficult to imagine he'd delegate that authortity. The DOD is now saying it appears that we have sucessfully cut communications to battlefield commanders, just as we did in '91. Their evidence for this is that, just as in '91, the Iraqi response to our attacks is completely uncoordinated and small-scale. They're mostly just waiting for us, and not counterattacking.

So, even if Saddam wants to use chemical weapons, his previous orders will prevent it from happening...until we get to Baghdad and he will presumably be issuing orders personally. There, if he wants to, he can.






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