McFreedom

Sadly, I haven't had time to finish my rationals for these predictions. But, with time rapidly running out, I'm going to cut to the bottom line of what I've been thinking for about a week.

For a lot of reasons I don't have time to go into now, I feel the polls are complete bunk. Nobody knows what's going on out there - if they're right that it's a 49/49 split, it's just luck. I'm very confident in saying that this isn't gonna be close - the winner gets at least 290 electoral votes and at least 51% of the popular vote. I say that because that's the way (at least) most Presidential votes go, and I just don't buy the polling, for a number of reasons I don't have time to go into (maybe tomorrow, or Wednesday in the post-mortem).

The second big prediction - and this one is more of a hunch than a well-reasoned position, although I have some good reasons - I'm predicting Bush is the one who wins big. Probably 300 electoral votes and bare minimum 51% of the popular vote, and I wouldn't be surprised by more.

Now, all we can do is wait. And vote.